The door is slowly closing on our second year playing MLS fantasy, but it is being kept slightly ajar by the inclusion of a Bracket Challenge. Thanks to Secret Zorro we have a league to join that will enable us to choose the outcomes of the various matchups leading up to the Championship. It will also be a forum for banter among all those who participate. Check the site for the Web address, league name, and password.
On the PL front, be aware that Arsenal. Leicester City, Manchester City and Tottenham all played Champion’s League matches this week. Be alert to any injuries that may have been suffered.
As I state each week, no claims are made that the results presented below will outperform the processes you currently use or should replace what has worked for you in the past. They are offered for your review –
- to assist with and compare to your Prediction Game choices.
- to present possible lineup strategies or transfers, for your fantasy teams.
- to assist in Captain selection.
- to be an aid for those managers lacking time to surf the Web.
- to add another tool to your kit.
Each week I review the sites that have posted predictions prior to the posting of the article. The data collected is analyzed for mean and mode and reported in tabular form. In addition to this, I will be adding some statistical data generated by the RMT Opti bot each week in the hope that it will be of assistance.
This week’s review reveals the following trends –
- The sites favor Tottenham away and the bot agrees at 50% to win and 30% to keep a CS.
- The sites favor Arsenal at home and the bot agrees at 59.6% to win and 45% to keep a CS.
- The sites favor Everton away but the bot rates Burnley at 36% v 31.6% to win and 30.8% to keep a CS. (With the close percentages a draw is possible).
- The sites favor Stoke away (with a draw possible) but the bot has Hull at 40.4% to win and 25.8% to keep a CS.
- The sites favor Leicester at home (with a draw possible) and the bot agrees at 48.8% to win and 37.4% to keep a CS.
- The sites favor Watford away while the bot rates Swansea at 35% to win and 25% to keep a CS.
- The sites favor West Ham at home and the bot agrees at 42.8% to win and 29.2% to keep a CS.
- The sites favor Liverpool at home and the bot agrees at 54% to win and 36.6% to keep a CS.
- The sites favor Man City at home and the bot agrees at 40.4% to win and 31% to keep a CS.
- The sites favor a draw between Chelsea and Man United while the bot has Chelsea at 40.4% to win and 27.4% to keep a CS.
In 9 out of 10 matches, the Opti bot favors the home team, Tottenham being the outlier. Arsenal has the best chance of a CS (45%) from all the simulations.
On the other hand, the site predictors favor the home team in 5 matches, away team in 2 matches and have 3 matches to be draws.
The statistical predictions for PL GW 9 are –
|Bournemouth||v||Tottenham||0.7-1.7||1-1||1-2 or 1-1|
|Arsenal||v||Middlesbrough||2.3-0.3||2-0 or 3-0||2-0 or 3-0|
|Hull City||v||Stoke City||0.7-1.2||1-1||1-1|
|West Ham||v||Sunderland||1.5-0.4||1-0||2-0 or 1-0|
|Liverpool||v||West Brom||2.1-0.2||3-0||2-0 or 3-0|
The results from last week’s predictions saw one site (fplupdates.com) with a record of 9-1; the West Brom v Tottenham draw being the only blemish.
The top sites from PL GW 8 were –
|# of Predictions||# correct wins / draws||# Correct Exact Scores|
The statistical predictions for MLS GW 34 are –
|Sporting KC||v||San Jose||2-0||2-0||2-0|
|Seattle||v||Real Salt Lake||1.7-0||2-0||2-0|
|Philadelphia||v||NY Red Bulls||1.3-1.5||1-2||1-2|
|NY City||v||Columbus||2.3-1.4||3-2||2-1 or 3-2|
Once again the MLS predictions are based on 6 sites posting and the small data sample make the results questionable.
“You pays your money, and you takes yoour choice”. This old adage holds much truth as it applies to football scoreline predictions.
I hope that all managers are enjoying the current competition (open to all site regulars). Jump into the game; it is never too late to join.